Will the US Dollar crash ?

Will the US Dollar crash soon ?

And if the US Dollar crashes soon, what will happen next ?
This weekend, the business week has a nice discussion on this topic.
To me, I am thinking:
  • a little crashing is good for the market now since the economy may be improved as a result
  • Crashing too much, let's say 2 dollars equals 1 euro, then it's bad for all people in the US since the living cost will be dragged up
  • The US dollar crashing may cause the interest rate shoot up so that inflations are not in a bad shape
  • As a result, if the interest rate up, housing market will go down again. Financial system will be in trouble again and the US economy as a whole overall will follow. That's some bears are hoping now.
  • So look closely at the US dollar and the interest rate, some clues could be drawn from them on the market development.
The bet on US dollar up and down can be done easily through UUP and UDN.

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